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一 | 8月25日消息,据路透社报道,现代汽车韩国工会8月25日宣布与资方达成临时薪资协议,避免了进一步的停产损失。 Reports that Donald Trump may formally announce his intention to run again in 2024 as soon as some time later this month carry with them both risks and opportunities, conservative commentators and GOP donors have told Sputnik.,On Friday, The New York Times reported that the former president could announce a bid for reelection in the near future to preempt the January 6 Committee’s investigation and possible recommendations of criminal charges against him, and to steal the limelight from potential contenders, chief among them Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.,“I think if Trump announced his candidacy now, he would take some of the pressure off of the January 6 hearings…put his opponents on notice and get a very large head start,” Dan Eberhart, an Arizona-based oil executive and major GOP donor, says.,The January 6 hearings, which Trump has decried as a partisan “witch hunt” aimed at stopping him in 2024 after two failed impeachments and the collapse of the Russiagate probe, are nevertheless “damaging to Trump’s reputation,” and could “persuade centrists not to vote for him,” Eberhart thinks.,Trump Blasts January 6 Probe as Attempt to Keep Him From Seeking Reelection in 202414 June, 00:04 GMT,“The January 6 Select Committee is a political charade, the goal of which has already been determined,” Marc Little, a conservative political commentator, pastor, and California-based lawyer, says of the House investigation.,“The FBI reported there is no connection between the breach of the Capitol and President Trump. Accordingly, this partisan committee was formed with the sole intent [of being] a ‘third’ impeachment hearing against a man who proved them to be ineffective, useless politicians... Trump is a threat to the Establishment’s agenda to undermine America’s founding principles and the scam they have all played on the American people,” Little said.,Eberhart urges the Trump team to be cautious, saying an announcement too early could prove a “distraction for Republicans” campaigning in the midterms, hamper Trump’s fundraising opportunities, and tighten Federal Election Commission finance reporting requirements.,The donor recognizes, however, that an early announcement would also rally Trump's base, and “allow him to amass all the campaign consultants and political operatives he needs to keep those away from his opponents somewhat, principally Governor DeSantis”.,“I think Trump is always trying to stay in the news and be relevant. But I think that if he announces too hurriedly, it will actually limit his chances to be reelected and distract voters from the midterm elections, which are really more important for the Republicans right now,” Eberhart stresses.,Mr. Little isn’t as worried, suggesting that “to the most discerning eyes,” Trump “is already running,” and if he makes a formal announcement, it could "preempt" “the soon-to-be [released] bogus findings of the January 6 Select Committee, who doesn’t seem discouraged by using hearsay and fabricated testimony to make its case against the former president.”,Little is confident that an early announcement on Trump’s part would have “no impact on” the coming red wave in the 2022 midterms, given that “the domestic and international failures of the Biden administration” have become “too great for the Democrats to overcome.”,Donald Trump Could Be One of ‘Multiple Criminal Referrals’ by January 6 Committee, Cheney SaysYesterday, 07:54 GMT,Furthermore, Little says, an early announcement could undermine the January 6 Committee’s possible push for criminal charges against the ex-president, particularly “if the [Department of Justice’s] tradition of not indicting a presidential candidate applies to former president Trump as it did to former secretary of state Hillary Clinton.”,In the summer of 2016, the DoJ closed its criminal probe into Mrs. Clinton over her potentially illegal use of a private server during her tenure as Barack Obama’s secretary of state, with the FBI similarly recommending no criminal charges and slapping Mrs. Clinton on the wrist by accusing her of being “extremely careless” by using the server. The FBI reopened its probe after discovering new emails in October 2016, but no criminal charges were issues. In 2019, a State Department probe concluded that 38 people were “culpable” of mishandling classified information by sending it to Clinton’s server, but no punishments were meted out.,“It is important for the former president to use his clout to strengthen the party and its chances to regain a majority in both the House and Senate,” Little believes. “Trump has extraordinary support among Americans. His support wanes among politicians in his own party and among the big donor class who prefer a statesman and an even-tempered leader. Those who hold such thoughts and desires don’t fully appreciate the signs of the times and the intentional rot of American exceptionalism by the left in America and by those abroad. President Trump is the only proven obstacle to these pernicious forces,” the observer concludes.,President Biden’s approval ratings have hit unprecedented lows comparable only to those of George W. Bush in recent weeks amid growing concerns about inflation, food and gas prices, international crises, and recession fears.,With Biden’s Approval Rating Tanking, Most Americans Don’t Want POTUS to Run in 2024, Polls Show1 July, 20:27 GMT,Last week, a Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey found that some 71 percent of Americans don’t want Biden to seek a second term, citing his record and age. The same poll found that 61 percent don’t want to see Trump attempt a return to the White House in 2024, with critics characterizing him as "too erratic", divisive, or responsible for the January 6, 2021 Capitol mayhem.,Last month, a Yahoo News/YouGov poll found that Trump had secured a slim lead over Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, with 44 percent of registered voters ready to cast their ballots for the business mogul compared with 42 percent who said they would vote for Biden against Trump.。

二 | 此前工会在上周五举行了十年来首次全面罢工,约3.9万名工会成员参与,蔚山、全州、牙山工厂全线停产16小时,今年累计罢工已达60小时,业界估算生产损失约5.52万辆,销售额损失超2.3万亿韩元。

三 | 根据临时协议,现代员工月基本工资将上调10万韩元,(汇率1元≈205韩元)约合人民币486元,固定奖金为月基本工资的400%,另有额外现金和奖金。 退休年龄方面,现行60岁的门槛将在相关法律修订后延长,且60岁后最初几年不降薪,资方还承诺明年起到2028年,新招聘500名技术工人。 事实上,这轮谈判的最大看点其实不在钱,工会明确要求公司拿出净利润的30%作为绩效奖金,并提出针对人工智能和自动化的就业保护条款。

四 | 这份担忧有非常具体的指向,现代汽车正是人形机器人公司波士顿动力的母公司,已宣布计划从2028年起在美国佐治亚州工厂部署Atlas人形机器人,并打算逐步推广到所有生产基地。

五 | 工会担心机器人上岗,会代替工人导致下岗,这一焦虑成为本次罢工的重要导火索。 在AI就业保障方面,双方同意在开展新业务时就涉及就业的事项进行协商。不过协议并未对机器人部署设限,而是建立了“新业务上线前先谈就业”的沟通机制,相当于把难题留到了下一轮谈判。 而工会最初要求将退休年龄提高至65岁、固定奖金比例达到800%,最终在退休年龄和奖金上均有所妥协,等于双方各退一步。临时协议还需工会成员投票表决才能正式生效。 值得一提的是,现代汽车工会的薪资谈判几乎年年伴随罢工,今年在机器人话题加持下火药味更浓。但人形机器人进厂的脚步不会停,意味着此类罢工也许只是刚开了个头。

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